WINNERS

TREVOR LAWRENCE – JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

 

There is a reason he is considered one of the best quarterback prospects of all time.  He has all the measurables and the football IQ to be an instant star in the league.  The supporting cast around him should help his chances and Urban Meyer has had a long time to figure out a system that should work.  Since Lawrence is in a better all-around situation and the guaranteed, day one starter, he will surely be the most productive rookie quarterback.

 

JUSTIN FIELDS – CHICAGO BEARS

Matt Nagy’s time for excuses is done with this draft pick.  Fields may not see game time from the very start, but it shouldn’t take him long to pass up Andy Dalton.  His versatility will be something that an “offensive wizard” like Nagy should be able to harness and make for some nice fantasy outings. He shouldn’t be counted on as your QB1, but by mid-season, he could be a weekly starter especially if he gets good use out of his legs.

 

ZACH WILSON – NEW YORK JETS

 

This one could be a wild roller coaster ride.  The New York Jets are, well, the New York Jets so there’s a strong chance they just mess this up.  However, Wilson is a tremendous talent and will have some solid weapons to work with.  He has a high ceiling as a rookie. There will be plenty of opportunities especially if the Jets can protect him since he can also make plays when things break down. It may not be pretty, and the Jets may not win many games, but it could be fun.

LOSERS

 

MAC JONES – NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

 

This is one of those situations where Mac Jones will be a better NFL quarterback than fantasy football option.  The Patriots are not an explosive offense, their defense will be solid as always, and he still must overtake Cam Newton.  If he does take over for Cam, it’s because he won’t make mistakes or take chances which will limit upside. Don’t expect too much from Jones.

 

DAVIS MILLS – HOUSTON TEXANS

 

Assuming Deshaun Watson doesn’t play and the Tyrod Taylor era in Houston doesn’t go well, Davis Mills will be the starter.  This still doesn’t make him relevant for fantasy football.  He projects well with his arm strength and field vision, but he isn’t very mobile, and the Texans aren’t very good.  There are plenty of veteran streaming options or other rookie positions to go with before landing on Mills.

 

KYLE TRASK – TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

 

Look at how well Day 2 quarterback picks have fared over the past decade behind Tom Brady.  It’s awful.  Even without having to sit behind Brady, Trask was never going to be very fantasy relevant.  Bruce Arians is a great offensive mind, but it is asking a lot to take this statue of a passer and make him someone your willing to start… which won’t even be an option until 2022 at best. Keep him away from your roster.